Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004561 0.005054 0.005565 0.006134 0.006747 0.007389 0.008110
2025-01-19 0.003750 0.004445 0.005204 0.006090 0.007091 0.008185 0.009466
2025-01-26 0.003215 0.004007 0.004904 0.005987 0.007253 0.008678 0.010393
2025-02-02 0.002854 0.003712 0.004716 0.005964 0.007463 0.009190 0.011317
2025-02-09 0.002559 0.003462 0.004547 0.005932 0.007633 0.009637 0.012152
2025-02-16 0.002392 0.003347 0.004525 0.006061 0.007987 0.010294 0.013238
2025-02-23 0.002164 0.003135 0.004363 0.005999 0.008090 0.010639 0.013942
2025-03-02 0.001997 0.002987 0.004268 0.006009 0.008274 0.011076 0.014759
2025-03-09 0.001929 0.002964 0.004330 0.006218 0.008710 0.011834 0.015983
2025-03-16 0.001815 0.002870 0.004290 0.006287 0.008961 0.012355 0.016916
2025-03-23 0.001732 0.002812 0.004293 0.006407 0.009278 0.012964 0.017968
2025-03-30 0.001662 0.002767 0.004308 0.006543 0.009615 0.013601 0.019062
2025-04-06 0.001499 0.002578 0.004118 0.006393 0.009571 0.013750 0.019542
2025-04-13 0.001382 0.002450 0.004008 0.006348 0.009666 0.014083 0.020270
2025-04-20 0.001258 0.002303 0.003861 0.006242 0.009669 0.014286 0.020823
2025-04-27 0.001168 0.002202 0.003775 0.006219 0.009782 0.014638 0.021576
2025-05-04 0.001084 0.002104 0.003686 0.006185 0.009877 0.014961 0.022294
2025-05-11 0.001046 0.002080 0.003710 0.006319 0.010213 0.015622 0.023480
2025-05-18 0.000965 0.001978 0.003607 0.006255 0.010257 0.015874 0.024106
2025-05-25 0.000907 0.001911 0.003555 0.006265 0.010409 0.016278 0.024945
2025-06-01 0.000896 0.001926 0.003635 0.006481 0.010870 0.017126 0.026416
2025-06-08 0.000856 0.001886 0.003624 0.006552 0.011112 0.017665 0.027461
2025-06-15 0.000830 0.001868 0.003646 0.006677 0.011438 0.018328 0.028687